Friday, June 6, 2014

2014 06 06 – Edge of Tomorrow, The Fault in Our Stars

Why do I keep continue writing this blog, while my shooting isn't good? One thing is because I love to know what new movies come to theatres. I could simply go to a movie website to see OPENINGS section, but shooting is an active activity. I need to think a bit, even if my thinking is flawed.

Second thing is I am more and more conscious what movies are good and what makes them good (good doesn't implicate big openings). A story, a hero, a challenge -- I got quite good in finding them in movies, though for a better part I find only empty spaces.

These two things are the reason I'm okay with my last weekend's prediction of Maleficient. It is a horrible movie, a forgettable one as soon as you come out of a theatre room door. These two things are the reason I'm pumped for this weekend: we've got two great movies, I'm going to shoot high!

This weekend we have two openings.

FRIDAY: All shots!

MONDAY: Official numbers!

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I FOUND THIS TAGLINE IN A BUDDHIST FORTUNE COOKIE

This movie, Edge of Tomorrow, is an action PG-13 movie, from Warner Bros.

Emily Blunt's character looks like Cloud Strife, from the legendary game Final Fantasy VII. This is the first -- and to some people, the only -- reason they need to go to see this movie. Other fans of action movies went to see a trailer. After the first version of it, I was enchanted. A great concept, borrowed from The Groundhog Day, but uniquely twisted, filled with gears, robots, explosions, and a set of clear goals of the hero: external -- to win the war, internal -- to find out what happened to him. This combination marks great writing.

Tom Cruise looks here a perfect hit. He is showing vulnerability and humility of a rookie soldier, I didn't expect him to. Also, being a subordinate to a woman (Emily's character) also contrasts with Mr. Cruise we know from real life. It gets interesting to watch such a clash of attitudes.

Last year Tom Cruise's Oblivion (a movie now in full synchro with its title) went for $ 9795 per theater, $ 37,05 mln total. I cheer Edge of Tomorrow gets more than that. Even like $ 13,795 per theater. It is a decent summer blockbuster, not a megahit in terms of money, but a great entertainment for fans.

Shots:

$ 48,14 mln  --  Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014  (3490 theaters, $ 13,795 per theater)
$ 39 mln  --  SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier
$ 35 mln  --  Andy Burns, BiffBamPop
$ 34,5 mln  --  Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 32 mln  --  Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
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$ 30 mln  --  C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 30 mln  --  Box Office team
$ 30 mln  --  Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 30 mln  --  Perri Nemiroff, Shockya
$ 30 mln  --  ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 29,5 mln  --  Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 28,8 mln  --  Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
$ 28,76 mln  --  the official weekend number of the movie  (3490 theaters, $ 8241 per theater)
$ 28,7 mln  --  Damon Houx, ScreenCrave
$ 25 mln  --  Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart

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THEY ARE LYING ON AN APARTMENT'S FLOOR, BUT THEY HAVE USED A GRASS SHAMPOO

This movie, The Fault in Our Stars, is a drama PG-13 movie, from Fox.

Most dramas tend to get bloated. Their writers fall into thinking in a fixed point of emotion. That is not true: life slides on an emotion scale. There is tragedy and comedy, entwined in a single moment. There are moments of death. There are moments of love. All is fluctuating, even if everyone knows how it is going to end.

This movie can be a middle level surprise hit. I can imagine lots of girl fans of Divergent going to see this one. The theme, the tone, the message of the movie is different, of course. But two of lead actors are there, and there is love in the air. Nothing more is needed.

The Fault in Our Stars is definitely going for a high opening for dramas. It should easily get $ 8000-9000 per theater. Two years ago The Vow opened with $ 13,929. That's a bit too high for me.

Shots:

$ 49 mln  --  Box Office team
$ 48 mln  --  the official weekend number of the movie  (3173 theaters, $ 15,128 per theater)
$ 46 mln  --  SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier
$ 45 mln  --  Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
$ 45 mln  --  Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart
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$ 42,5 mln  --  Damon Houx, ScreenCrave
$ 41,5 mln  --  Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 40 mln  --  Perri Nemiroff, Shockya
$ 40 mln  --  Andy Burns, BiffBamPop
$ 38,5 mln  --  Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
$ 37 mln  --  Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 37,30 mln  --  Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014  (3173 theaters, $ 11,755 per theater)
$ 35 mln  --  C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 35 mln  --  ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 33 mln  --  Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon

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