I write about that because a similar case will be made this weekend. A similar, not copy-exact, because you can't really compete with a dead actor.
This weekend we have three openings.
FRIDAY: My shots per theater!
and
FRIDAY: All shots!
MONDAY: Official numbers!
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HE'S FAST, HE'S FURIOUS, BUT WITHOUT VIN DIESEL'S MUSCLES WON'T BREAK $ 10,000 PER THEATER
This movie, Brick Mansions, is an action PG-13 movie, from Relativity.
This movie holds almost every ingredients for a nice hit.
Past numbers show a potential of $ 40-50 mln total opening of all this weekend's movies. Since two other movies are not interesting, all focus should be placed here.
Action PG-13 movies make good money this year. The lowest opening was Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit's $ 4562 per theater. Brick Mansions doesn't open at that much theaters, but will easily go above mentioned movie.
Why? Because Paul Walker isn't with us anymore. This is the last movie he wrapped up. The story is dynamic, characters know some crazy acrobatics, are able to shoot, and to drive fast. The only reason it will not be a monster hit is a lack of really big star like Vin Diesel. Most fans of Fast & Furious franchise will definitely go see this movie.
Shots:
$ 22,95 mln -- Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014 (2647 theaters, $ 8671 per theater)
$ 11 mln -- Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 10,8 mln -- Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
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$ 10 mln -- Andy Burns, BiffBamPop
$ 9,52 mln -- the official weekend number of the movie (2647 theaters, $ 3595 per theater)
$ 9,5 mln -- Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
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$ 8,5 mln -- Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
$ 8,2 mln -- Box Office team
$ 8 mln -- C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 8 mln -- ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 7,2 mln -- Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 7 mln -- Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart
Damon Houx, ScreenCrave, SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier, didn't post a shot for this movie.
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THREE BLONDES WALK INTO A BAR...
This movie, The Other Woman, is a comedy PG-13 movie, from Fox.
I don't find anything funny in this movie.
Around it, I manage to do. Like thinking if it is an evolution or downgrade for Cameron Diaz to star in a movie with two other blondes. In Charlie's Angels she was the only one. Here she is just one of three. Ok, it is a devolution, then.
If The Single Moms Club, a much better movie, earned only $ 4259 per theater, this one should make less.
Shots:
$ 24,77 mln -- the official weekend number of the movie (3205 theaters, $ 7727 per theater)
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$ 20 mln -- ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 19 mln -- SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier
$ 18,2 mln -- Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
$ 17,5 mln -- Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 17 mln -- C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 17 mln -- Box Office team
$ 16,5 mln -- Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
$ 16,5 mln -- Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 14 mln -- Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 14 mln -- Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart
$ 13,5 mln -- Andy Burns, BiffBamPop
$ 11,5 mln -- Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014 (3205 theaters, $ 3588 per theater)
Damon Houx, ScreenCrave, didn't post a shot for this movie.
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THE YAWNING ONES
This movie, The Quiet Ones, is a horror PG-13 movie, from Lionsgate.
There is no need to say much about it. It's late by at least one and a half year. It may be a bit better than Devil's Due (due to based-on-facts selling point), but I hope it won't pass Oculus's $ 4534 per theater. It would be a bad example for a horror genre.
Shots:
$ 14 mln -- SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier
$ 7,6 mln -- Box Office team
$ 7,3 mln -- Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
$ 7,1 mln -- Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014 (2027 theaters, $ 3501 per theater)
$ 6,5 mln -- Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 6 mln -- C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 6 mln -- Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru$ 6 mln -- Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 5 mln -- Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart
$ 4,8 mln -- Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
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$ 3,88 mln -- the official weekend number of the movie (2027 theaters, $ 1914 per theater)
Damon Houx, ScreenCrave, ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline, Andy Burns, BiffBamPop, didn't post a shot for this movie.
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