2014 03 07 – 300: Rise of an Empire, Mr. Peabody & Sherman

We are two months in this year. 22 movies opened wide, the best predicters shot 6 of them right -- they are Edward Douglas of ComingSoon, Mitch Metcalf of ShowBuzzDaily. I shot 5 right.

Last year, at this point, there were 21 movies,  the best score was 8, I made 6 shots right. It means this year started a bit harder, movies' openings were trickier to predict.

But March was a great month, I got the best score (5 out of 15). I look forward to this year's March's openings.

This weekend we have two of them.

THURSDAY:  My shots per theater!

FRIDAY:  All shots!

MONDAY:  Official numbers!

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THE BEST MOVIE EVER: LENA HEADEY AND VIN DIESEL READ A TELEPHONE BOOK

This one, 300: Rise of an Empire, is an action R movie, from Warner Bros.

I love Lena's voice in the opening of the trailer. Her voice is low, velvet and firm, but not harsh. I felt the same shiver of pleasure as during the opening of Terminator: The Sarah Connor Chronicles. Vin Diesel's voice owns the same quality for women.

The original 300's success has been made thanks to a single meme, This is Sparta! This time, we don't get any of it. This movie is just a colorful slideshow of violence suited for teen boys. R-rating means it serves as a forbidden fruit, the same way as 20 years ago we were glued to a TV screen with Rambo and Delta Force on. I don't think it will break $ 10,000 per theater level, but it will be higher than Sucker Punch's $ 6284 per theater, a movie favorably omitted from Zack Snyder's portfolio that was placed into the trailer. What is the reason? Commercial success of such TV series as The Walking Dead, Game of Thrones, Spartacus, Vikings, Black Sails. R-rated audience is now recognised as a strong source of income. Of course, the audience of Game of Thrones will not find any political twists in 300: Rise of an Empire. But blood and steel factor should pull younger part of it.

Shots:

$ 49 mln  --  Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart
$ 45,04 mln  --  the official weekend number of the movie  (3470 theaters, $ 12,979 per theater)
$ 44,9 mln  --  Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 42,5 mln  --  Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
$ 41,3 mln  --  Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
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$ 40 mln  --  C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 40 mln  --  Andy Burns, BiffBamPop
$ 39 mln  --  SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier
$ 36,5 mln  --  Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 35 mln  --  Perri Nemiroff, Shockya
$ 33 mln  --  Box Office team

$ 33 mln  --  Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru

$ 29,8 mln  --  Damon Houx, ScreenCrave
$ 28,26 mln  --  Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014  (3470 theaters, $ 8144 per theater)
$ 28 mln  --  ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline

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IN A BACKGROUND, IS IT A GHOST OF TINTIN?

This one, Mr. Peabody & Sherman, is an adventure PG movie, from Fox.

A movie targeting smart kids, rather than all kids, is a tough sell. The Adventures of Tintin, a similar movie, opened with just $ 3149 per theater, three years ago.

A movie involving time travel, also plays to its disadvantage. Movies with such a creative element usually open around $ 20 mln. The higher number is reached only if there is a star attached to a movie: like Arnold Schwarzenegger in Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines, Will Smith in Men in Black 3, Adam Sandler in Click. I go with $ 4900 per theater, that is just over last year's Escape from Planet Earth.

Shots:

$ 45,6 mln  --  Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 40 mln  --  Sensei White Lotus, BreitBart
$ 37,2 mln  --  Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
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$ 35 mln  --  Damon Houx, ScreenCrave
$ 32,21 mln  --  the official weekend number of the movie  (3934 theaters, $ 8187 per theater)
$ 32 mln  --  C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 31,4 mln  --  Edward Douglas, ComingSoon
$ 31 mln  --  Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 31 mln  --  SaberToothDragon, BoxOfficeFrontier
$ 30 mln  --  Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
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$ 28 mln  --  Box Office team

$ 25 mln  --  Perri Nemiroff, Shockya
$ 25 mln  --  Andy Burns, BiffBamPop

$ 23 mln  --  ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 19,28 mln  --  Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2014  (3934 theaters, $ 4900 per theater)

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